Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.066886 0.075364 0.084016 0.093473 0.103492 0.113762 0.125057
2025-08-24 0.050944 0.063082 0.076071 0.090869 0.107134 0.124354 0.143854
2025-08-31 0.040244 0.054345 0.070082 0.088633 0.109620 0.132380 0.158694
2025-09-07 0.034192 0.049811 0.067872 0.089751 0.115056 0.142989 0.175764
2025-09-14 0.029848 0.046648 0.066704 0.091576 0.120870 0.153668 0.192602
2025-09-21 0.027198 0.045188 0.067254 0.095144 0.128467 0.166188 0.211359
2025-09-28 0.023892 0.042496 0.065996 0.096295 0.133030 0.175067 0.225844
2025-10-05 0.023770 0.043950 0.069860 0.103627 0.144883 0.192361 0.249964
2025-10-12 0.020329 0.040517 0.067248 0.102776 0.146788 0.197947 0.260499
2025-10-19 0.018307 0.038869 0.066794 0.104488 0.151684 0.206964 0.274946
2025-10-26 0.016073 0.036673 0.065445 0.104932 0.154931 0.213953 0.286967
2025-11-02 0.014527 0.035358 0.065174 0.106672 0.159705 0.222711 0.301026
2025-11-09 0.012619 0.033376 0.064007 0.107367 0.163388 0.230442 0.314248
2025-11-16 0.009938 0.029756 0.060306 0.104563 0.162581 0.232706 0.320978
2025-11-23 0.007745 0.026601 0.057033 0.102148 0.162126 0.235294 0.328012
2025-11-30 0.006666 0.025344 0.056479 0.103358 0.166259 0.243452 0.341689
2025-12-07 0.005870 0.024518 0.056512 0.105330 0.171345 0.252765 0.356748
2025-12-14 0.005516 0.024573 0.057897 0.109182 0.178878 0.265108 0.375477
2025-12-21 0.004728 0.023529 0.057467 0.110425 0.182964 0.273159 0.389006
2025-12-28 0.005149 0.025344 0.061687 0.118324 0.195844 0.292186 0.415888
2026-01-04 0.004091 0.023457 0.059788 0.117407 0.197049 0.296633 0.425040
2026-01-11 0.003571 0.022781 0.059830 0.119250 0.201885 0.305606 0.439697
2026-01-18 0.002927 0.021613 0.058969 0.119728 0.204871 0.312235 0.451481